Pricing Psychology
October '07

Click on a link below for the entire article.

Success Tip Pricing Psychology
Best Practices - 6 Negative consequences of overpricing for Sellers
Real eStat - Some Unpleasant News, and Some Good News


Success Tip
Pricing Psychology


Today’s market conditions around the country range from robust to comatose. If your area is on the drowsy side of that chart, you’ve no doubt had to advise a seller that his or her listing price should be snipped and tucked a bit in order to look more attractive to discerning buyers. And if you proffered that advice, you might have seen your seller recoil in horror as if you were the Mad Price Slasher.

Here are two reasons sellers cling to unrealistic asking prices while the market slumps all around them (three reasons, if you count unfairly blaming their listing agent for being an advertising-retentive slacker):

Denial Reason #1: Most people tend to be unrealistically optimistic. Harvard College psychology professor Daniel Gilbert, in his book “Stumbling on Happiness,” cites studies indicating that most people are overly-optimistic about their futures. This, according to Gilbert, is our brain’s way of relieving us from anxieties about unpleasant outcomes. It’s a little bit like the man who fell off the roof of a 20-story building. As he whizzed by the 10th floor window, people heard him say, “So far, so good!”

So when you present those carefully-chosen comparables, and well-documented market statistics, don’t expect some rational reaction like, “Oh, then we should lower our price, right?” It’s more likely to be, “Very interesting, but when are you going to increase your advertising and hold more open houses?”

Denial Reason 2: “Loss-aversion.” People have been known to chase down a purse-snatcher or pickpocket to get back the $100 or so he ran off with. That could be classified as a risk of life in most cities. But that same victim would not likely risk his or her life to earn $100. That’s because most people are way more motivated to prevent a loss than to gain a gain. It’s the reason amateur investors hang onto a stock that has fallen into a tailspin, hoping the value decline will miraculously reverse. Astute investors accept the loss, and bail out. Be patient when your seller counters your professional price-adjustment suggestion by saying, “I can’t afford to lose any more money on this house.” You’ll be tempted to say, “You never had that money,” but bite your tongue. He thinks he did.

Help your seller move through the denial stage. Counseling your seller client about pricing is not a one-shot process. Keep presenting the newest active and sold comps, make sure your clients have the latest market stats. Ask every week whether they are ready to make a “price adjustment.” If not, say fine and move on. But ask again next week; and the week after. Like a good doctor who relentlessly advises a patient to make healthy lifestyle changes, you should never give up on helping your clients make difficult, but realistic, pricing decisions.


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Best Practices
6 Negative consequences of overpricing for Sellers

  1. Overpricing can result in an eventual sale below market value. This is because agents and buyers will increasingly pass over properties listed for a protracted period of time. They wonder why no one else has wanted the property, giving it a stigma. Eventually, bargain-hunters might sniff a deal, and make lowball offers and/or offer exotic financing schemes.

  2. Lost Opportunities. Chances for sellers to buy other homes or complete their relocation plans are postponed, leading to inconvenience and expense.

  3. Misjudging offers. Sellers might not recognize a good offer when they see one due to an unrealistic basis of comparison.

  4. Seller’s lives are needlessly disrupted. The multitude of showings that will not result in a sale can cause a high level of anxiety. They eventually worry about a long “siege” of marketing.

  5. Overpricing can strain the relationship between agent and seller. The seller might develop suspicions about their real estate agent’s performance. Instead of making a realistic pricing decision, they pressure the agent to pay for useless advertising or hold open houses that further disappoint the sellers.

  6. Misjudging the problem. The seller might mistakenly attribute the buyers’ attitudes, the season, or the weather as the true underlying problem.

The preceding was an excerpt from our online course, “The Psychology of Pricing,” by James Tice.

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 Real eStat™
Some Unpleasant News, and Some Good News


First some more unpleasant news for your sellers. Home prices as measured by the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index fell 3.9% last July on a year-over-year basis. This is the largest drop on record.

The good news is that two million net jobs have been created over the past two years, there were two million marriages per year, and four million births—all reasons that prompt people to buy houses. That’s a lot of piled up demand waiting for news that the mortgage wreckage has begun to right itself.

Lawrence Yun, NAR senior economist, said the mortgage market impact is quantifiable.  “Fewer contracts were being written because of mortgage availability issues, and a separate internal survey of our members shows more than 10 percent of sales contracts fell through at the last moment in August, primarily the result of canceled loan commitments,” he said. “The volume of activity we’re seeing today is below sustainable market fundamentals because some creditworthy people are trying to buy homes but can’t because of the credit crunch.”

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